Research Report #17 Ramp up Decision Making Methods
with a Decision Making Tree & a Decision Making Grid
Recent events have shown the
importance of making the right decision, but how about decision making
methods? How we achieve those winning strategies can be as important as
when or where those decisions are made. There are many more technologies that
also help us see how decisions are organized in the daily life of any business.
Many business leaders and executives are learning to use helpful models such as
a decision making tree for organizing their actions and choices so that,
much like a computer or mechanical process facilitator, we can learn from the
patterns behind our actions. A spreadsheet, for example, includes a decision
making grid which gets more and more use in all kinds of industries.
Decision Making Tree
These, along with decision making
fault trees, are widely used to give you a visual picture of the factors
involved in decision making.
In Judgment and Decision
Making (1992) Arkes and Hammond say:
The decision
maker needs only 4 types of information to construct a Decision Tree:
- What
are my possible courses of action?
- What
are the events that might follow from those actions?
- What is the likelihood of each event?
- What
is the value of each event to me?
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Examples of decision making trees
are shown. You may also get a lot of information and examples by typing
“decision making tree” into your search engine. Group decision making is often
aided by putting a decision making tree on the blackboard to help group members
to see a visual picture.
Decision Making Grid
A decision making grid or chart,
much like a decision making tree, will give you a helpful way to use decision
making methods that ramp up your thinking. At Step or Stage 6 of SM-14, I show
a suggested grid. Again, if you type “decision making grid” into your search
engine, you will see that there is much literature about them available.
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