
Decision Making Is More Complex Today
The decision maker today is faced with this condition: the world has become
much more complex and this process continues at an ever-increasing rate.
The knowledge of many of the individual features of decision making has increased
tremendously in recent years. Some are now organized sciences. Others are just
little “sciences” or bodies of knowledge. This will necessitate
more specialization by decision makers. It will require decision making to be
taught across the curricula from kindergarten through college and university.
At the higher levels, it will require courses every year or term.
Group Decision Making
On complex decisions, the decision maker of today often uses decision groups
or teams in an effort to get a variety of opinions and expertise. Or consultants
are employed to aid the process. At other times, the decision makers must do
their own research. The problem is that we can’t be experts in everything,
especially in these complex times.
It is not easy to abstract decision making guidance from existing books and
the internet, although they can be of help. It is to fill this guidance need
that I spent another year on meta-analysis of decision making literature in
preparing this booklet.
To improve your decision making, you should follow this booklet each time you
work on a complex decision problem. The experience you gain will also aid you
in developing your intuitive decision base.
Examples of Individual Sciences of Decision Making
In using this booklet you will soon recognize that there are many specific individual
“sciences” or bodies of knowledge about features of decision making.
To illustrate, I list below just a few of these subjects.
Modeling Mathematics
Artificial Intelligence
Economics
Researching Stress & Emotions
Psychology
Planning
Team Decision Making
Value Engineering
Charting & Graphing
Expected Utility Theory
Bounded Rationality
Urgent Decisions
Forecasting
Internet
Behavioral Theory
Communications
Personal Decision Making
Decision Trees
And the list goes on and on. Some of these I cover later.
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