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CONTENTS OF 48-PAGE BOOKLET:
  •  The Big Picture
  •  Problem Solving and Decision Making
  •  The Decision Making Process
  •  System of Decision Making and Problem Solving
  •  Intuitive Decision Making
  •  Short Formula for Decision Making
  •  Full Model and Formula
  •  Specific Individual “Sciences”


  • STAGES AS APPLIED TO DECISION MAKING:
    1. Curious Observation
    2. Is There a Problem?
    3. Goals and Planning
    4. Search, Explore and Gather the Evidence
    5. Generate Creative & Logical Alternative Solutions
    6. Evaluate the Evidence
    7. Make the Educated Guess (Hypothesis)
    8. Challenge the Hypothesis
    9. Reach a Conclusion
    10. Suspend Judgment
    11. Take Action

    SUPPORTING INGREDIENTS:
    12. Creative, Non-Logical, Logical & Technical Methods
    13. Procedural Principles & Theories
    14. Attributes & Thinking Skills

  •  Group or Team Decision Making
  •  Management Decision Making Technique
  •  Managerial Decision Making
  •  Behavior Decision Making Theory
  •  Accounting for Risks Involved
  •  Decision Making under Uncertainty, Forecasting and Predicting
  •  Miscellaneous Strategies
  •  Opportunities to Use My Non-copyrighted Material
  •  Bibliography
  •  Your Guide and Worksheet

  • Specific Individual “Sciences” of Features of Decision Making



    Decision Making Is More Complex Today

    The decision maker today is faced with this condition: the world has become much more complex and this process continues at an ever-increasing rate.
    The knowledge of many of the individual features of decision making has increased tremendously in recent years. Some are now organized sciences. Others are just little “sciences” or bodies of knowledge. This will necessitate more specialization by decision makers. It will require decision making to be taught across the curricula from kindergarten through college and university. At the higher levels, it will require courses every year or term.

    Group Decision Making

    On complex decisions, the decision maker of today often uses decision groups or teams in an effort to get a variety of opinions and expertise. Or consultants are employed to aid the process. At other times, the decision makers must do their own research. The problem is that we can’t be experts in everything, especially in these complex times.

    It is not easy to abstract decision making guidance from existing books and the internet, although they can be of help. It is to fill this guidance need that I spent another year on meta-analysis of decision making literature in preparing this booklet.

    To improve your decision making, you should follow this booklet each time you work on a complex decision problem. The experience you gain will also aid you in developing your intuitive decision base.

    Examples of Individual Sciences of Decision Making

    In using this booklet you will soon recognize that there are many specific individual “sciences” or bodies of knowledge about features of decision making. To illustrate, I list below just a few of these subjects.

      Modeling Mathematics
      Artificial Intelligence
      Economics
      Researching Stress & Emotions
      Psychology
      Planning
      Team Decision Making
      Value Engineering
      Charting & Graphing
      Expected Utility Theory
      Bounded Rationality
      Urgent Decisions
      Forecasting
      Internet
      Behavioral Theory
      Communications
      Personal Decision Making
      Decision Trees

      And the list goes on and on. Some of these I cover later.